投資古玩正當(dāng)其時

【好展會網(wǎng)  貿(mào)易投資專題】 <p>上海市工商聯(lián)收藏俱樂部理事長：劉超<br /> </p> <p>如今社會上流行這樣一句話，叫做：你不理財，財不理你。那么，現(xiàn)在我們怎么理財呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 其實(shí)，目前的社會，投資理財?shù)臋C(jī)會很多，你可以去投資黃金和基金；也可以去投資股票和債券；更可以發(fā)揮你的聰明才智去涉足國債和外匯；當(dāng)然了，如果你把錢放進(jìn)銀行或者去買保險，也不失為一種理性的投資方式。但是，在這八大投資熱點(diǎn)外，是否還有第九個投資熱點(diǎn)呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 筆者以為：有！那就是投資古玩藝術(shù)品。 <br /> 本世紀(jì)目前的三大投資熱點(diǎn)是：股票、房地產(chǎn)和古玩藝術(shù)品。雖然前兩項(xiàng)投資讓資本者趨之若鶩，驚喜交加，但房價和股價在上上下下的波動中變化太大，變數(shù)太多，其中的甜酸苦辣非常人所能理解。然而，在收藏領(lǐng)域，要是這件古玩藝術(shù)品你看準(zhǔn)了，買對了，那么，其投資價值在古玩藝術(shù)品本身的文化價值的推動下，會有相當(dāng)可觀的利潤。如2001年，上海敬華拍賣公司的首次拍賣活動中，一款明永樂青花折枝花卉八方燭臺作為拍賣圖錄的封面被隆重推出，經(jīng)過幾十輪的激烈競標(biāo)，最終以880萬元成交。四年后，當(dāng)此燭臺出現(xiàn)在北京翰海拍賣公司的春拍中時，被藏家以2035萬元的價格買走。一只燭臺，一件古玩藝術(shù)品，投資四年后的利潤達(dá)到了131%。 <br /> 由此可見，投資古玩藝術(shù)品的利潤是豐厚的。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 為何如此認(rèn)為呢？因?yàn)?，隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，我們現(xiàn)在投資古玩藝術(shù)品有著天時、地利、人和的優(yōu)越條件。所謂天時，目前正逢盛世，而盛世收藏乃是一個社會繁榮昌盛的標(biāo)志。我國自上世紀(jì)80年代改革開放以來，經(jīng)濟(jì)飛速發(fā)展，社會日益進(jìn)步，人民安居樂業(yè)，自然有了收藏的大好環(huán)境。所以，20多年前發(fā)展起來的民間收藏隊伍如今已有7000萬之多；至于地利，則是名副其實(shí)。自古以來，上海乃是四海之通衢的交通要道，來往方便，自然是貨源充足，形成了一個多元化的收藏者層次和市場，有了玩家就有市場，有市場就會有投資機(jī)會。而人和就是我們今天所強(qiáng)調(diào)的和諧社會之要義。一個和諧的社會必定是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的社會，于是，在古玩收藏中進(jìn)行投資就有了社會和經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 近兩年來，據(jù)專家分析，古董投資的利潤是48%，而股票的投資利潤則是37%。下面我們就收藏品投資行為與投機(jī)行為的特點(diǎn)列表進(jìn)行比較：</p> <p> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="700" border="1"> &nbsp; &nbsp; <tbody> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 資 行 為 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 機(jī) 行 為 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 交易目的</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 獲得穩(wěn)定的收益</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 在短期內(nèi)獲得差額利潤</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 承擔(dān)風(fēng)險</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較小</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較大</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 決策依據(jù)</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 價值分析為主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 市場分析為主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 持有時間</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較長</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較短</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; </tbody> </table> </p> <p>從表中我們可以看到，投資古玩的大收益和小風(fēng)險。當(dāng)然，其前提是本人懂行和有行家替你掌眼。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 有著廣泛收藏群體的中國隨著社會的進(jìn)步和經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，古玩藝術(shù)品價格的增長是一種正常的現(xiàn)象，而且，其成交價位的繼續(xù)走高也是勢在必行的，所以，投資古玩正當(dāng)其時。</p>
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